• About Us
  • Who Are We
  • Work With Us
Tuesday, June 24, 2025
No Result
View All Result
The Globe Post
39 °f
New York
44 ° Fri
46 ° Sat
40 ° Sun
41 ° Mon
No Result
View All Result
The Globe Post
No Result
View All Result
Home World

100 Years On, Spanish Flu Holds Lessons for Next Pandemic

Staff Writer by Staff Writer
10/08/18
in World
Doctors in protective gear

Scientists sounded particular alarm over avian H7N9 -- a virus that kills roughly 40 percent of people it infects, even if it cannot currently pass from human to human. Photo: AFP

11
SHARES
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

It was the disease to end all others, infecting a third of humanity, killing tens of millions in their beds and prompting panicked talk of the end of days across continents still reeling from war.

One hundred years on from the influenza outbreak known as the Spanish Flu, scientists say that while lessons have been learned from the deadliest pandemic in history, the world is ill-prepared for the next global killer.

In particular, they warn that shifting demographics, antibiotic resistance, and climate change could all complicate any future outbreak.

“We now face new challenges including an aging population, people living with underlying diseases including obesity and diabetes,” University of Melbourne Dr. Carolien van de Sandt, at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, told AFP on Monday.

Scientists predict that the next influenza pandemic — most likely to be a strain of bird flu that infects humans and spreads rapidly across the world via air travel — could kill up to 150 million people.

Van de Sandt and her team examined reams of data on the Spanish Flu, which tore across the planet in 1918.

They also studied three further pandemics: the 1957 “Asian” flu, the “Hong Kong” flu of 1968 and 2009’s swine flu outbreak.

They found that although the Spanish Flu infected one in three people, many patients managed to survive severe infection and others displayed only mild symptoms.

Unlike most nations, which used war-time censorship to suppress news of the spreading virus, Spain remained neutral during World War I. Numerous reports of the sickness in Spanish media led many to assume the disease originated there and the name stuck.

It is now largely believed that the strain of flu in 1918, in fact, originated among U.S. servicemen and killed a disproportionately high amount of soldiers and young people, but researchers said things would be different this time around.

In 1918, in a world struggling with the economic impact of global war, the virus was rendered deadlier due to high rates of malnutrition.

But the team behind a new study, published in the Journal Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology, said the next outbreak will spread in the developed world among a population struggling with record obesity and diabetes rates.

“Deadly diseases like Ebola and avian flu are only one flight away…” Former Obama homeland security advisor Lisa Monaco and @CGDev fellow @Globalist_VinG look at one of the largest threats to world security and stability – pandemics. https://t.co/3kTUuOgz16 pic.twitter.com/oOAkon1eVm

— Anne MacDonald (@annedmacd) October 8, 2018

‘Double Burden’

“What we know from the 2009 pandemic is that people with certain diseases (such as obesity and diabetes) were significantly more likely to be hospitalized with, and die from, influenza,” Kirsty Short, from the school of Chemistry and Biosciences at the University of Queensland, told AFP.

The team warned that the world faced a “double burden” of severe disease due to widespread malnutrition in poor nations — exacerbated by climate change — and overnutrition in richer ones.

And global warming could impact in other ways.

Van de Sandt said that since many influenza strains begin in birds, a heating planet could alter where the next outbreak emerges.

“Climate change may change migration patterns of birds, bringing potential pandemic viruses to new locations and potentially a wider range of bird species,” she said.

One thing the investigation into 1918 threw up was that older people fared significantly better against the virus strain than younger adults.

The team theorized that this was due in part due to older citizens having built up some immunity through previous infections.

Most of those killed in 1918 — roughly 50 million people, or 2.5 percent of those infected — died due to secondary bacterial infections, something that antibiotics helped alleviate during subsequent pandemics. But today many bacteria are immune to antibiotics.

“This increases the risk that people again will suffer from and die as a result of secondary bacterial infections during the next pandemic outbreak,” said Katherine Kedzierska, from Melbourne’s Doherty Institute.

The authors sounded a particular alarm over avian H7N9 — a virus that kills roughly 40 percent of people it infects, even if it cannot currently pass from human to human.

“At the moment none of these viruses has acquired the ability to spread between humans, but we know that the virus only needs to make a few minor changes to make this happen and could create a new influenza pandemic,” said van de Sandt.

‘Inform the Public’

While the world in 2018, with its more than seven billion people, megacities and global air travel, is barely recognizable from a century ago, the team insists there are many lessons the Spanish Flu can teach the governments of today.

By nature, pandemic virus strains are unpredictable — if authorities knew for sure which flu will spread they could invest in a widely available vaccine.

Until a universal vaccine is created, “governments must inform the public on what to expect and how to act during a pandemic,” said van de Sandt.

The study said governments could use the communicative power of the internet to help spread awareness and instructions in the event of a new pandemic.

“An important lesson from the 1918 influenza pandemic is that a well-prepared public response can save many lives,” said van de Sandt.

Irwin Redlener: US Remains Ill-prepared for Terror Attacks, Natural Disasters [Part I]

Share11Tweet
Staff Writer

Staff Writer

AFP with The Globe Post

Related Posts

Pfizer logo and vaccines
World

Pfizer to Sell More Drugs at Cost to Poor Nations

by Staff Writer
January 18, 2023
Volunteers are given the Moderna vaccine on August 5, 2020, in Detroit, Michigan.
Featured

Who’s First-in-Line for the Vaccine? A Classic Problem in Medical Ethics

by Edward C. Halperin
December 30, 2020
Virginia Senator Ghazala Hashmi
Interviews

A Conversation With Hashmi, Virginia’s First Muslim American State Senator

by Josephine Walker
August 7, 2020
A staff member checks the temperature of a guest entering the casino of the New Orient Landmark hotel in Macau on January 22, 2020
World

Europe Emerges From Confinement, but Asia Infections Spike

by Staff Writer
May 11, 2020
People wear protective face masks as they carry groceries in the centre of Brussels, amid the outbreak of COVID-19, caused by the novel coronavirus
World

Brave New World: Could Pandemic Lead to Positive Change?

by Staff Writer
May 15, 2020
A women wears a mouth mask amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak.
Opinion

Why Economists Who Have No Problem With Price Gouging Are Wrong

by Amitrajeet A. Batabyal
May 7, 2020
Next Post
Viktoria Marinova

Bulgaria Under Pressure After Journalist's Brutal Murder

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during his annual press conference in Moscow

Patriotic Youth Camps: Recruiting Next Generation ‘Russian World’ Supporters

Recommended

An Iranian protester

Iran’s Nuclear Program: From Its Origins to Today’s Dispute

June 23, 2025
Protesters and police clash during the “No Kings” protest in Los Angeles, California on June 14, 2025.

US Appeals Court Allows Trump Control of National Guard in LA

June 20, 2025
Donald Trump

Fact vs. Fiction: The Trump Administration’s Dubious War on Reverse Discrimination

June 18, 2025
Iranian missiles and Israeli interceptors light up the sky over Beirut, Lebanon, on June 14, 2025. Iran launched multiple missiles toward Israeli targets, triggering interception attempts above several regional capitals, including Beirut.

Israel-Iran Conflict: Latest Developments

June 18, 2025
Tens of thousands of protestors shut down Fifth Avenue in Manhattan on Saturday, April 5, 2025, protesting the Trump administration's abuse of the separation of federal powers as well as the deep cuts to governmental services overseen by presidential advisor Elon Musk.

Civil Society Is Holding the Line. Will Washington Notice?

June 17, 2025
An Iranian walking in front of a wall painting of the Iranian flag in Tehran

How Much Damage Has Israel Inflicted on Iran’s Nuclear Program?

June 16, 2025

Opinion

Donald Trump

Fact vs. Fiction: The Trump Administration’s Dubious War on Reverse Discrimination

June 18, 2025
Tens of thousands of protestors shut down Fifth Avenue in Manhattan on Saturday, April 5, 2025, protesting the Trump administration's abuse of the separation of federal powers as well as the deep cuts to governmental services overseen by presidential advisor Elon Musk.

Civil Society Is Holding the Line. Will Washington Notice?

June 17, 2025
A Black Lives Matter mural in New York City.

Fuhgeddaboudit! America’s Erasure of History

April 2, 2025
Bust of Deputy Rubens Paiva in the Chamber of Deputies

Democratic Brazilians Are Still Here

March 18, 2025
A woman from Guatemala

Dispatch From Central America

January 28, 2025
US President Donald Trump

Dear Trump Supporters: Is This the America You Wanted?

January 28, 2025
Facebook Twitter

Newsletter

Do you like our reporting?
SUBSCRIBE

About Us

The Globe Post

The Globe Post is part of Globe Post Media, a U.S. digital news organization that is publishing the world's best targeted news sites.

submit oped

© 2018 The Globe Post

No Result
View All Result
  • National
  • World
  • Business
  • Interviews
  • Lifestyle
  • Democracy at Risk
    • Media Freedom
  • Opinion
    • Editorials
    • Columns
    • Book Reviews
    • Stage
  • Submit Op-ed

© 2018 The Globe Post